Recent studies in big data analytics and natural language processing develop automatic techniques in analyzing sentiment in the social media information. In addition, the growing user base of social media and the high volume of posts also provide valuable sentiment information to predict the price fluctuation of the cryptocurrency. This research is directed to predicting the volatile price movement of cryptocurrency by analyzing the sentiment in social media and finding the correlation between them. While previous work has been developed to analyze sentiment in English social media posts, we propose a method to identify the sentiment of the Chinese social media posts from the most popular Chinese social media platform Sina-Weibo. We develop the pipeline to capture Weibo posts, describe the creation of the crypto-specific sentiment dictionary, and propose a long short-term memory (LSTM) based recurrent neural network along with the historical cryptocurrency price movement to predict the price trend for future time frames. The conducted experiments demonstrate the proposed approach outperforms the state of the art auto regressive based model by 18.5% in precision and 15.4% in recall.
翻译:最近对大数据分析和自然语言处理的研究发展了分析社交媒体信息中情绪的自动技术。此外,社交媒体用户基础的日益扩大和文章数量庞大也为预测加密货币的价格波动提供了宝贵的情绪信息。这项研究的目的是通过分析社交媒体的情绪并找到它们之间的相互关系来预测加密货币的价格波动。虽然以前的工作是为了分析英国社交媒体文章中的情绪,但我们建议了一种方法,从最受欢迎的中国社交媒体平台Sina-Weibo中找出中国社交媒体文章的情绪。我们开发了捕捉魏博的管道,描述了加密特定情绪词典的创建,并提出了一个基于长期短期记忆的经常性神经网络,以及历史加密货币价格变化,以预测未来时间框架的价格趋势。所进行的实验表明,所提议的方法超越了以艺术为基础的自动递减模型的18.5%和15.4%的精确率。