The global workforce is urged to constantly reskill, as technological change favours particular new skills while making others redundant. But which skills are most marketable and have a sustainable demand? We propose a model for skill evaluation that attaches a market value to a set of 962 digital skills based on near real-time online labour market data. We demonstrate that the value of a specific skill is strongly determined by complementarity - that is with how many other high-value skills a competency can be combined. Most importantly, we show that the value of a skill is relative, as it depends on the capacities it is combined with. For most skills, their value is highest when used in combination with skills of the same type. We illustrate our model with a set of AI skills that are particularly valuable because of their strong complementarities, and also because of the significant increase in their demand in recent years. Finally, we contrast our skill premia with automation probabilities and find that some skills are very susceptible to automation despite their high market value. The model and metrics of our work can inform the policy and practice of digital re-skilling to reduce labour market mismatches. In cooperation with online platforms and education providers, researchers and policy makers should consider using this blueprint to provide learners with personalised skill recommendations that complement their existing capacities and fit their occupational background.
翻译:由于技术变革有利于特定的新技能,而使其他技能变得多余。但是,哪些技能最能销售,并且具有可持续的需求?我们提出了一个技能评价模式,根据近实时在线劳动力市场数据,将市场价值赋予一套962个数字技能,我们提出一个模式,该模式基于近实时在线劳动力市场数据,将这套962个数字技能赋予市场价值。我们证明,一种具体技能的价值由互补性——即有多少其他高价值技能可以结合能力——来决定。最重要的是,我们表明,一种技能的价值是相对的,因为它取决于它与能力相结合。对于大多数技能来说,如果结合同一类技能使用,其价值最高。我们用一套特别有价值的人工智能技能来展示我们的模型,因为这些技能具有很强的互补性,而且由于近年来需求大幅增加。最后,我们把我们的具体技能的价值与自动化的概率作对比,发现有些技能尽管其市场价值很高,却非常容易自动化。我们工作的模型和衡量尺度可以用来指导数字再技能的政策和做法,以降低劳动力市场的不匹配性。我们与在线平台和技能提供者合作,研究人员和决策者应该考虑其个人背景,他们应该利用这种技能来补充自己的学习者。