We propose an ARIMA-TX-GARCH model and use it to forecast European Carbon Emission Allowance futures prices, incorporating Brent crude oil futures prices as an exogenous variable.
翻译:我们提出了一种ARIMA-TX-GARCH模型,并将其用于预测欧盟碳排放配额期货价格,同时将布伦特原油期货价格作为外生变量纳入模型。