Financial regulatory agencies are struggling to manage the systemic risks attributed to negative economic shocks. Preventive interventions are prominent to eliminate the risks and help to build a more resilient financial system. Although tremendous efforts have been made to measure multi-risk severity levels, understand the contagion behaviors and other risk management problems, there still lacks a theoretical framework revealing what and how regulatory intervention measurements can mitigate systemic risk. Here we demonstrate regshock, a practical visual analytical approach to support the exploration and evaluation of financial regulation measurements. We propose risk-island, an unprecedented risk-centered visualization algorithm to help uncover the risk patterns while preserving the topology of financial networks. We further propose regshock, a novel visual exploration and assessment approach based on the simulation-intervention-evaluation analysis loop, to provide a heuristic surgical intervention capability for systemic risk mitigation. We evaluate our approach through extensive case studies and expert reviews. To our knowledge, this is the first practical systemic method for the financial network intervention and risk mitigation problem; our validated approach potentially improves the risk management and control capabilities of financial experts.
翻译:金融监管机构正在努力管理负面经济冲击造成的系统性风险; 预防性干预对于消除风险和帮助建立更具复原力的金融体系至关重要; 尽管已经作出巨大努力,以衡量多风险严重程度,了解传染行为和其他风险管理问题,但仍缺乏一个理论框架,说明监管干预衡量办法可以减轻系统性风险的内容和方式; 在这里,我们展示了反思,这是支持探索和评价金融监管衡量办法的实用直观分析方法; 我们提出了风险岛,这是一个前所未有的以风险为中心的视觉化算法,有助于发现风险模式,同时保持金融网络的地形; 我们还提出了基于模拟-干预-评价分析循环的新型视觉探索和评估方法,以提供减轻系统性风险的超速外科手术干预能力; 我们通过广泛的案例研究和专家审查来评估我们的方法; 据我们所知,这是金融网络干预和减少风险问题的第一个实用系统方法; 我们经过验证的方法有可能提高金融专家的风险管理和控制能力。