Research has a long history of discussing what is superior in predicting certain outcomes: statistical methods or the human brain. This debate has repeatedly been sparked off by the remarkable technological advances in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), such as solving tasks like object and speech recognition, achieving significant improvements in accuracy through deep-learning algorithms (Goodfellow et al. 2016), or combining various methods of computational intelligence, such as fuzzy logic, genetic algorithms, and case-based reasoning (Medsker 2012). One of the implicit promises that underlie these advancements is that machines will 1 day be capable of performing complex tasks or may even supersede humans in performing these tasks. This triggers new heated debates of when machines will ultimately replace humans (McAfee and Brynjolfsson 2017). While previous research has proved that AI performs well in some clearly defined tasks such as playing chess, playing Go or identifying objects on images, it is doubted that the development of an artificial general intelligence (AGI) which is able to solve multiple tasks at the same time can be achieved in the near future (e.g., Russell and Norvig 2016). Moreover, the use of AI to solve complex business problems in organizational contexts occurs scarcely, and applications for AI that solve complex problems remain mainly in laboratory settings instead of being implemented in practice. Since the road to AGI is still a long one, we argue that the most likely paradigm for the division of labor between humans and machines in the next decades is Hybrid Intelligence. This concept aims at using the complementary strengths of human intelligence and AI, so that they can perform better than each of the two could separately (e.g., Kamar 2016).
翻译:研究有很长的历史来讨论预测某些结果的优越性:统计方法或人类大脑。这种辩论一再被人工智能领域的显著技术进步(AI)引发,例如解决物体和言语识别等任务,通过深学习算法(Goodfellow等人,2016年)在准确性方面取得重大进展,或者结合各种计算智能方法,例如模糊逻辑、遗传算法和基于案例的推理(Medsker,2012年),这些进步背后的一个暗含的许诺是,机器将有能力完成复杂任务,甚至可能取代人类执行这些任务。这引发了对机器最终取代人类(McAfee和Brenjolfsson,2017年)等任务的新的热烈辩论。虽然以前的研究证明,AI在一些明确界定的任务中表现得很好,例如打棋、玩游戏、遗传算法和基于案例的推理(Medsker,2012年),这些进步背后的一个隐含的许诺是,在近期内,机器将有能力完成多项任务,甚至可能取代人类完成这些任务。在下一个模型中,Russell和Norvig,因此,从一个复杂的机构应用到一个复杂的实验室中可能使用AI。