Citations are often used as a metric of the impact of scientific publications. Here, we examine how the number of downloads from Sci-hub as well as various characteristics of publications and their authors predicts future citations. Using data from 12 leading journals in economics, consumer research, neuroscience, and multidisciplinary research, we found that articles downloaded from Sci-hub were cited 1.72 times more than papers not downloaded from Sci-hub and that the number of downloads from Sci-hub was a robust predictor of future citations. Among other characteristics of publications, the number of figures in a manuscript consistently predicts its future citations. The results suggest that limited access to publications may limit some scientific research from achieving its full impact.
翻译：引用文献常常被用来衡量科学出版物的影响。在这里,我们研究从科学文献中心下载的次数以及出版物及其作者的各种特征如何预测未来引用。我们利用经济学、消费者研究、神经科学和多学科研究方面的12种主要期刊的数据发现,从科学文献中心下载的文章被引用的次数比从科学文献中心下载的论文多1.72倍,从科学文献中心下载的论文被引用的次数是从科学文献中心下载的论文的1.72倍,而从科学文献中心下载的下载次数是未来引用的可靠预测。除了出版物的其他特征外,手稿中的数字始终预测其未来引用。结果表明,有限查阅出版物可能会限制某些科学研究实现其全面影响。
相关内容
微信扫码咨询专知VIP会员