In Geosciences a class of phenomena that is widely studied given its real impact on human life are the tectonic faults slip. These landslides have different ways to manifest, ranging from aseismic events of slow displacement (slow slips) to ordinary earthquakes. An example of continuous slow slip event was identified in Cascadia, near the island of Vancouver (CA). This slow slip event is associated with a tectonic movements, when the overriding North America plate lurches southwesterly over the subducting Juan de Fuca plate. This region is located down-dip the seismogenic rupture zone, which has not been activated since 1700s but has been cyclically loaded by the slow slip movement. This fact requires some attention, since slow slip events have already been reported in literature as possible triggering factors for earthquakes. Nonetheless, the physical models to describe the slow slip events are still incomplete, which restricts the detailed knowledge of the movements and the associated tremor. In the original paper, the strategy adopted by the authors to address the limitation of the current models for the slow slip events was to use Random Forest machine learning algorithm to construct a model capable to predict GPS displacement measurement from the continuous seismic data. This investigation is sustained in the fact that the statistical features of the seismic data are a fingerprint of the fault displacement rate. Therefore, predicting GPS data from seismic data can make GPS measurements a proxy for investigating the fault slip physics and, additionally, correlate this slow slip events with associated tremors that can be studied in laboratory. The purpose of this report is to expose the methodology adopted by the authors and try to reproduce their results as coherent as possible with the original work.
翻译:在地球科学领域,我们经常研究的一类现象是构造断层的滑动。这些山体滑坡有不同的表现形式,从没有产生地震的慢速位移事件(缓慢滑动)到普通地震。在卡斯卡迪亚岛附近,与覆盖的北美板块向西南运动的远离海岸的胡安·德·富卡海板块的俯冲有一个连续的缓慢滑动事件的例子。这个缓慢滑动事件与断层的运动有关。当北美板块向西南运动时,会向下俯冲带滞留,其大地震震源区自1700年以来一直未激活,但已被缓慢滑动运动循环加载。这个事实需要注意,因为文献中已经报道了缓慢滑动事件可能是引发地震的因素之一。但是,目前的缓慢滑动事件物理模型仍然不完整,这限制了对运动及其associated tremor的详细了解。在原始论文中,作者采用随机森林机器学习算法建立一个模型,能够从连续的地震数据中预测GPS位移测量。这项研究基于一个基本事实,即地震数据的统计特征是断层滑动速度的指纹。因此,从地震数据中预测GPS数据可以使GPS测量成为研究断层滑动物理学的代理,此外,还可以将这些缓慢滑动事件与可以在实验室中研究的相应震颤相关联。本报告的目的是介绍作者采用的方法,并尝试在最大程度上与原始工作相一致地重现他们的结果。